Will Ulta say “Diamond”?

Ulta did not say “Diamond” on its Aug 27, 2026 call (FY27 Q2); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 4, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Ulta said “Diamond” on 1 of 4 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Dec 4, 2025 (25%), most recently on Mar 12, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 24% (n=4, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

24%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=4counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Ulta

Diamond

Probability
24% · n=4
Settled
1/4 (25%)
Last calls
said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY27 Q2 earnings call, Aug 27, 2026 · not said

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FY27 Q1 earnings call, Jun 2, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Mar 12, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Kecia L. SteelmancompanypreparedIn transcript

…brand partners to fuel the innovation pipeline with new products like Fenty's Diamond Collection and Morphe eyeshadow palettes, a new elevated go-to-market approach that established…

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Dec 4, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Aug 28, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 29, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Mar 13, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q3 earnings call, Dec 5, 2024 · said 4 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

3 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Dave KimbellcompanypreparedIn transcript

…we reactivated members with greater efficiency. Additionally, we grew our platinum and diamond member base, leveraging unique incentives like exclusive and early access to key…

Dave KimbellcompanyqaIn transcript

…which is what we call our lead guest, our Platinum and our Diamond members. And we're pleased that we continue to see strong performance from…

Every match in the transcript

Every settled listing

newest first · 6 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 27, 2026DiamondPolymarketNo0
Aug 27, 2026DiamondKalshiNo0
Jun 2, 2026DiamondKalshiNo0
Mar 12, 2026DiamondKalshiYes1
Dec 4, 2025DiamondPolymarketNo0
Dec 4, 2025DiamondKalshiNo0

Questions

How many times did Ulta say “Diamond” on its last earnings call?
Ulta did not say “Diamond” on its Aug 27, 2026 call (FY27 Q2); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 4, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0 times.
How often does Ulta say “Diamond”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Ulta said “Diamond” on 1 of 4 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Dec 4, 2025 (25%), most recently on Mar 12, 2026.
What is the probability Ulta says “Diamond” next time?
24%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Ulta: ‘Diamond’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/ULTA/words/diamond (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=ulta&word=diamond · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=ulta&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP