Will Ulta say “Holiday”?
Ulta said “Holiday” 3 times on its Aug 27, 2026 call (FY27 Q2), and on 7 of its last 8 calls: 33, 7, 2, 2, 21, 14, 0, 3 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Ulta said “Holiday” on 3 of 4 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Dec 4, 2025 (75%), most recently on Aug 27, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 92% (n=4, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 3/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Ulta
Holiday
- Probability
- 92% · n=4
- Settled
- 3/4 (75%)
- Last calls
- said in 7 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
…Q3 and Q4 as we invest in Q3 to prepare for the holiday season, and therefore, would expect less EPS growth in Q3 versus Q4.…
…The world is very uncertain, and you've got back to school and holiday ahead of us, so let's not get ahead of ourselves." Thanks very…
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
Counts: company speakers + operator
14 counted (13 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…$25.64. Today, I will start by briefly highlighting our fourth quarter and holiday performance and then discuss our full-year performance and the progress we made…
…of our performance including Black Friday and Cyber Monday, along with key post-holiday events like our fan favorite Love Your Skin and Jumbo Love promotions.…
Counts: company speakers + operator
20 counted (10 in prepared remarks, 10 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…the Ulta Beauty Unleashed strategy, and discuss our outlook for the upcoming holiday. As I reflect over the past eleven months in my role as…
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did Ulta say “Holiday” on its last earnings call?
- Ulta said “Holiday” 3 times on its Aug 27, 2026 call (FY27 Q2), and on 7 of its last 8 calls: 33, 7, 2, 2, 21, 14, 0, 3 times.
- How often does Ulta say “Holiday”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Ulta said “Holiday” on 3 of 4 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Dec 4, 2025 (75%), most recently on Aug 27, 2026.
- What is the probability Ulta says “Holiday” next time?
- 92%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Ulta: ‘Holiday’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/ULTA/words/holiday (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=ulta&word=holiday · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=ulta&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP