Donald Trump: Weekly window, Sep 27, 2026

By Sep 27Weekly windowHistory onlyDonald Trump

Updated

Coverage

11 known appearances
8 of 11 known appearances transcribed Window: Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026. Counts: spoken only (posts do not count). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump. Counts are lower bounds until every appearance is transcribed.

Markets

14 words · 6 settled yes · our count agreed on 3 of 3

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Miracle Yes33✓50%n=2 from settlement history–
Alaska Yes11✓58%n=11 from settlement history–
Magnificent Yes11✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Tiger Yes–0–59%n=6 from settlement history–
Granite Yes–0––n=1 too little history for a probability–
Valueless Yes–0––n=1 too little history for a probability–
Pearl Harbor No–0–65%n=6 from settlement history–
Cheat / Cheater No–0––n=1 too little history for a probability–
Cloud No–0––new new word, no probability yet–
Eisenhower No–0––n=1 too little history for a probability–
Heaven No–0–47%n=3 from settlement history–
Six Seven No–0–42%n=70 from settlement history–
Elon / Musk No–0–38%n=63 from settlement history–
Cook / Cooked No–0–33%n=2 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-this-week-september-21-september-27-20260927 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP