Donald Trump: Weekly window, Sep 7, 2025
Polymarket What will Trump say this week (September 1 - 7)?
Coverage
0 known appearancesno known appearances yet Window: Sep 1, 2025 to Sep 7, 2025. Counts: spoken only (posts do not count). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
13 words · 6 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Transgender | Yes | – | 0 | 60%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Venezuela | Yes | – | 0 | 54%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Big beautiful bill | Yes | – | 0 | 53%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Cracker / Barrel | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Horror show | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Insane asylum | Yes | – | 0 | 43%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Fraud | No | – | 0 | 51%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Boots on the ground | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Denuclearize / Denuclearization | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Head blown off / Head's blown off | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Machete | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Bolsonaro | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Bitcoin / Crypto | No | – | 0 | 24%n=112 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-this-week-september-1-7 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP