# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_week by 2025-09-07 (settled) · 13 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-september-1-7 · as_of 2026-10-25T19:33:33Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-09-07 · tn/th blank: no transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-september-1-7 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between September 1, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and September 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
# coverage no known appearances yet (as of 2026-10-20T23:46:28Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	lower_bound
Transgender	transgender	16	8	0.5	YnnnYnnnYY	0.6	hist	0	0	yes	1
Venezuela	venezuela	4	4	1	YYYY	0.54	hist	0	0	yes	1
Big beautiful bill	big beautiful bill	19	11	0.58	nYYnYnYnYn	0.53	hist	0	0	yes	1
Fraud	fraud	4	3	0.75	YnYY	0.51	hist	0	0	no	1
Bolsonaro	bolsonaro	0	0			0.45	hist	0	0	no	1
Insane asylum	insane asylum	6	2	0.33	YnnYnn	0.43	hist	0	0	yes	1
Bitcoin / Crypto	bitcoin|crypto	115	5	0.04	nnnnnnnnnn	0.24	hist	0	0	no	1
Boots on the ground	boots on the ground	0	0			0.49	prior	0	0	no	1
Cracker / Barrel	barrel|cracker	0	0			0.49	prior	0	0	yes	1
Denuclearize / Denuclearization	denuclearization|denuclearize	0	0			0.49	prior	0	0	no	1
Head blown off / Head's blown off	head blown off|head's blown off	0	0			0.49	prior	0	0	no	1
Horror show	horror show	0	0			0.49	prior	0	0	yes	1
Machete	machete	0	0			0.49	prior	0	0	no	1