Donald Trump: Weekly window, Nov 23, 2025
Polymarket What will Trump say this week (November 17 - 23)?
Coverage
0 known appearancesno known appearances yet Window: Nov 17, 2025 to Nov 23, 2025. Counts: spoken only (posts do not count). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
13 words · 7 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | Yes | – | 0 | 69%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Sleepy Joe | Yes | – | 0 | 66%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | Yes | – | 0 | 65%n=37 from settlement history | – |
| Drill Baby Drill | Yes | – | 0 | 59%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Walmart | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Damn | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Epstein | Yes | – | 0 | 30%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Longest Government Shutdown | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Terminate the Filibuster | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Laughingstock | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Brazil | No | – | 0 | 44%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Ghislaine / Maxwell | No | – | 0 | 36%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Drone | No | – | 0 | 29%n=20 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-this-week-november-17-23 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP