# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_week by 2025-11-23 (settled) · 13 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-november-17-23 · as_of 2026-10-27T05:38:34Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-11-23 · tn/th blank: no transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-november-17-23 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between November 17, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and November 23, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
# coverage no known appearances yet (as of 2026-10-20T23:46:28Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	lower_bound
MAGA / Make America Great Again	maga|make america great again	28	20	0.71	YYYYYnnnYY	0.69	hist	0	0	yes	1
Sleepy Joe	sleepy joe	20	11	0.55	YYYnnnYYYY	0.66	hist	0	0	yes	1
Transgender	transgender	39	18	0.46	YnnYnYYnnn	0.65	hist	0	0	yes	1
Drill Baby Drill	drill baby drill	23	17	0.74	nYYYYnYYYY	0.59	hist	0	0	yes	1
Laughingstock	laughingstock	1	0	0	n	0.5	hist	0	0	no	1
Damn	damn	0	0			0.47	hist	0	0	yes	1
Brazil	brazil	4	2	0.5	YYnn	0.44	hist	0	0	no	1
Ghislaine / Maxwell	ghislaine|maxwell	7	1	0.14	Ynnnnnn	0.36	hist	0	0	no	1
Epstein	epstein	38	5	0.13	nnYYnnnnnn	0.3	hist	0	0	yes	1
Drone	drone	20	2	0.1	nnnnnnYnnn	0.29	hist	0	0	no	1
Walmart	walmart	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.51	prior	0	0	yes	1
Longest Government Shutdown	longest government shutdown	0	0			0.51	prior	0	0	no	1
Terminate the Filibuster	terminate the filibuster	0	0			0.51	prior	0	0	no	1