Donald Trump: Remarks, Feb 6, 2026
Polymarket What will Trump say during signing on February 6?
Markets
13 words · 0 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trillion | No | 65%n=66 from settlement history | – |
| Iran | No | 55%n=43 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 53%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Nuclear | No | 50%n=100 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | No | 45%n=171 from settlement history | – |
| Russia / Putin | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Thank You 10+ times | No | 42%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Drug price | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Please 6+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Retruth | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Super Bowl | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hell | No | 38%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 5%n=260 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-during-signing-on-february-6 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP