Will “Tariff” be said on Lemonade Stand next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Tariff” was not said on Lemonade Stand in the only episode with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Apr 29, 2026.

Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 2, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 3.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
anyone
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Lemonade Stand

Tariff

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
0/1 (0%)
Last 8 episodes
said in 3 of 8

Next listing counts: anyone

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), October 7, 2026 · Oct 7, 2026 · 1:11:58In transcript

…1.5, 1.25 trillion dollars. Do you think that that would help or hurt inflation? Tariff money, my friend, maybe you haven't heard of the tariffs.

Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), September 23, 2026 · Sep 23, 2026 · 17:20In transcript

…shit that is like not part of his responsibility. Yeah, like a tariff thing. Yeah, exactly. So I thought that's really interesting is that you…

Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), September 2, 2026 · Sep 2, 2026 · 7:04In transcript

Things like tariffs, especially with the more recent Supreme court ruling that we got. These are things that are supposed to be established by those…

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 21) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 14) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 7) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 30) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 23) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 16) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 9) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 2) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (August 26) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (August 12) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Apr 29, 2026TariffPolymarketNo

Questions

How often is “Tariff” said on Lemonade Stand?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Tariff” was not said on Lemonade Stand in the only episode with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Apr 29, 2026.
What is the probability “Tariff” is said on Lemonade Stand next time?
46%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “Lemonade Stand: ‘Tariff’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/lemonade-stand/words/tariff (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=lemonade-stand&word=tariff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=lemonade-stand&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP