Will “Sweden” be said on Lemonade Stand next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Sweden” was said on Lemonade Stand in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 29, 2026 (50%), most recently on Apr 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 55% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 2, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 3.

55%from settlement history only · n=2counts: anyone
Last 10
1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
anyone
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Lemonade Stand

Sweden

Probability
55% · n=2
Settled
1/2 (50%)
Last 8 episodes
said in 3 of 8

Next listing counts: anyone

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), October 7, 2026 · Oct 7, 2026 · 1:21:53In transcript

dude I took I took the Sweden has this like election compass thing I took it to send to my friend and I landed on…

Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), September 23, 2026 · Sep 23, 2026 · 1:38In transcript

…being silenced by the white house and we have sent aiden to sweden to get on the ground floor to tell us what's going on…

Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), September 9, 2026 · Sep 9, 2026 · 31:01In transcript

…of accidents or the fault of drivers you can tell you're in sweden you're able to you're able to rent you know you're able to…

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 21) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 14) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 7) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 30) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 23) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 16) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 9) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 2) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (August 26) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (August 12) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
May 6, 2026SwedenPolymarketNo
Apr 29, 2026SwedenPolymarketYes

Questions

How often is “Sweden” said on Lemonade Stand?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Sweden” was said on Lemonade Stand in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 29, 2026 (50%), most recently on Apr 29, 2026.
What is the probability “Sweden” is said on Lemonade Stand next time?
55%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “Lemonade Stand: ‘Sweden’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/lemonade-stand/words/sweden (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=lemonade-stand&word=sweden · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=lemonade-stand&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP