Will “SpaceX” be said 3+ times on All-In Podcast next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “SpaceX” was said 3+ times on All-In Podcast in 8 of 14 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 19, 2026 (57%), most recently on Aug 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 55% (n=14, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 4 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 11, 2026 – Oct 16, 2026), it reached the market's count (3+, anyone) in 1.

55%from settlement history only · n=14counts: anyone
Last 10
4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes yes no no no no no
Streak
not said the last 5 times
Counts
anyone
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=all-in-podcast&word=spacex%20%283%2B%20times%29

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

All-In Podcast

SpaceX 3+ times

Probability
55% · n=14
Settled
8/14 (57%)
Last 4 episodes
said in 1 of 4

Next listing counts: anyone

What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (October 16) · not listed

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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (October 9) · not said

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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (October 2) · settled no

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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (September 18) · said 1 time (below the threshold)

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Counts: anyone

1 counted.

Speaker not labelled37:34In transcript

Typically, you get the SpaceX one, oh, what if Starship doesn't work? What if there's competition? It's kind of checkboxes. In anthropics, I think we're…

What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (September 11) · said 1 time (below the threshold)

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Counts: anyone

1 counted.

Speaker not labelled9:18In transcript

…was on TV with CNBC. And we were talking about Tesla and SpaceX. And I made a couple of comments about Slack positive, but not…

What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (September 4) · settled no

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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (August 21) · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (August 14) · settled yes

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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (August 7) · settled yes

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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (July 31) · settled no

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Every settled listing

newest first · 14 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 9, 2026SpaceX 3+ timesPolymarketNo0
Oct 2, 2026SpaceX 3+ timesPolymarketNo–
Sep 25, 2026SpaceX 3+ timesPolymarketNo1
Sep 11, 2026SpaceX 3+ timesPolymarketNo1
Sep 4, 2026SpaceX 3+ timesPolymarketNo–
Aug 21, 2026SpaceX 3+ timesPolymarketYes–
Aug 14, 2026SpaceX 3+ timesPolymarketYes–
Aug 7, 2026SpaceX 3+ timesPolymarketYes–
Jul 31, 2026SpaceX 3+ timesPolymarketNo–
Jul 24, 2026SpaceX 3+ timesPolymarketYes–
Jul 17, 2026SpaceX 3+ timesPolymarketYes–
Jul 10, 2026SpaceX 3+ timesPolymarketYes–
Jun 26, 2026SpaceX 3+ timesPolymarketYes–
Jun 19, 2026SpaceX 3+ timesPolymarketYes–

Questions

How often is “SpaceX 3+ times” said on All-In Podcast?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “SpaceX” was said 3+ times on All-In Podcast in 8 of 14 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 19, 2026 (57%), most recently on Aug 21, 2026.
What is the probability “SpaceX 3+ times” is said on All-In Podcast next time?
55%, from settlement history (n=14). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “All-In Podcast: ‘SpaceX 3+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/all-in-podcast/words/spacex-3plus (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=all-in-podcast&word=spacex%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=all-in-podcast&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP