Will “Stock Market” be said on All-In Podcast next time?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Stock Market” was said on All-In Podcast in 4 of 11 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 17, 2026 (36%), most recently on Aug 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 39% (n=11, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 11, 2026 – Oct 16, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 1.
- Last 10
- 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no yes no no yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
All-In Podcast
Stock Market
- Probability
- 39% · n=11
- Settled
- 4/11 (36%)
- Last 4 episodes
- said in 1 of 4
Next listing counts: anyone
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…It's down 15% or 20% in the last few days in the stock market. Is this just market volatility or is this the beginning of…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 11 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | Stock Market |  Polymarket | No |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Stock Market | Polymarket | Yes |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Stock Market | Polymarket | Yes |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Stock Market | Polymarket | No |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Stock Market | Polymarket | No |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Stock Market | Polymarket | Yes |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Stock Market | Polymarket | No |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Stock Market | Polymarket | No |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Stock Market | Polymarket | No |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Stock Market | Polymarket | No |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Stock market | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Stock Market” said on All-In Podcast?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Stock Market” was said on All-In Podcast in 4 of 11 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 17, 2026 (36%), most recently on Aug 21, 2026.
- What is the probability “Stock Market” is said on All-In Podcast next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=11). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “All-In Podcast: ‘Stock Market’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/all-in-podcast/words/stock-market (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=all-in-podcast&word=stock%20market · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=all-in-podcast&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP