Will “IPO” be said on All-In Podcast next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “IPO” was said on All-In Podcast in 12 of 14 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 19, 2026 (86%), most recently on Oct 16, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 78% (n=14, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 11, 2026 – Oct 16, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 3.
- Last 10
- 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes no no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
All-In Podcast
IPO
- Probability
- 78% · n=14
- Settled
- 12/14 (86%)
- Last 4 episodes
- said in 3 of 4
Next listing counts: anyone
Counts: anyone
12 counted.
…a significant player at scale? And what would that say for the IPOs, the two biggest in the history of business and public markets, Anthropic…
…I don't think for sure, with respect to the Anthropic and the OpenAI IPOs, I think my belief is those are going to be fine.
Counts: anyone
13 counted.
…going to compete. These trends may force them to do that. And I think then that sets up a very interesting setup for their IPO.
…go out in October, the report from the Wall Street Journal is that the IPO will happen in November or may be delayed even more.
Counts: anyone
12 counted.
…both of them did with Playboy, but that was well before the IPO window. And then they published it in the middle of their quiet…
Every settled listing
newest first · 14 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | IPO |  Polymarket | Yes | 12 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | IPO | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | IPO | Polymarket | No | – |
| Sep 25, 2026 | IPO | Polymarket | Yes | 13 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | IPO | Polymarket | Yes | 12 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | IPO | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Aug 21, 2026 | IPO | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Aug 14, 2026 | IPO | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Aug 7, 2026 | IPO | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jul 24, 2026 | IPO | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jul 17, 2026 | IPO | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jul 10, 2026 | IPO | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jun 26, 2026 | IPO | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jun 19, 2026 | IPO | Polymarket | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often is “IPO” said on All-In Podcast?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “IPO” was said on All-In Podcast in 12 of 14 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 19, 2026 (86%), most recently on Oct 16, 2026.
- What is the probability “IPO” is said on All-In Podcast next time?
- 78%, from settlement history (n=14). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “All-In Podcast: ‘IPO’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/all-in-podcast/words/ipo (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=all-in-podcast&word=ipo · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=all-in-podcast&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP