# Saturday Night Live (saturday-night-live) · tv_episode 2026-05-10 · 13 words · K k:KXSNLMENTION-26MAY10 · as_of 2026-10-24T16:30:07Z
# scope K cast · n/y settled before 2026-05-10 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSNLMENTION-26MAY10 ({word} = w of K rows): If any participating SNL cast says {word} as part of Saturday Night Live: Weekend Update , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	1	1	1	1	Y	0.44	hist	yes
Trump (5+ times)	trump#5	5	1	1	1	Y	0.44	hist	no
Epstein	epstein	1	1	1	1	Y	0.41	hist	yes
Ballroom	ballroom	1	2	1	0.5	nY	0.4	hist	no
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.34	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	4	1	0.25	nnnY	0.33	hist	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	2	0	0	nn	0.19	hist	yes
Alien	alien	1	0	0			0.28	prior	no
Ceasefire	ceasefire	1	0	0			0.28	prior	no
China / Chinese	china|chinese	1	0	0			0.28	prior	no
Spirit Airlines	spirit airline	1	0	0			0.28	prior	no
Stock Market	stock market	1	0	0			0.28	prior	no
Virus / Hantavirus	hantavirus|virus	1	0	0			0.28	prior	yes