# Jamie Raskin (jamie-raskin) · interview 2026-03-05 · 11 words · K k:KXPOLITICSMENTION-26MAR09 · as_of 2026-10-25T01:58:30Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-03-05 · tn/th blank: no interview transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXPOLITICSMENTION-26MAR09 ({word} = w of K rows): If Jamie Raskin says {word} as part of All in with Chris Hayes, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	p	res
Congress / Congressional	congress|congressional	0	0		0.44	yes
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	0	0		0.44	yes
Epstein	epstein	0	0		0.44	no
Fraud	fraud	0	0		0.44	no
ICE / Border	border|ice	0	0		0.44	yes
Iran	iran	0	0		0.44	no
Mask / Masked	mask|masked	0	0		0.44	no
Noem	noem	0	0		0.44	yes
Tariff	tariff	0	0		0.44	no
Terrorist / Terrorism	terrorism|terrorist	0	0		0.44	yes
Trump	trump	0	0		0.44	yes