Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: Appearance, Feb 10, 2026
Kalshi Mention: RFK One Year of MAHA
Markets
15 words · 9 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Autism | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Healthcare | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Insurance | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Obesity | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pharmaceutical | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pregnant / Pregnancy | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Processed Food | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Democrat | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fluoride | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mental Health | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| TrumpRX / TrumpRX.gov | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tylenol | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Vaccine / Vaccination | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPERSONMENTION-26FEB10 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP