Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. say “Democrat”?

As of Oct 26, 2026, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. did not say “Democrat” at any of the 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 3, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 27% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (1 episode, 1 press briefing; Jan 7, 2026 – Aug 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 press conferences have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

27%from settlement history only · n=6counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no
Streak
not said the last 6 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=robert-f-kennedy-jr&word=democrat

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Democrat

Probability
27% · n=6
Settled
0/6 (0%)
Last 2 transcripts
said in 0 of 2

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode, 1 press briefing); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

MadisonotherSaturday in America (Fox News), August 29, 2026 · Aug 29, 2026 · 49:32In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Brooke RollinsotherPress Secretary Karoline Leavitt Briefs Members of the Media, Jan. 7, 2026 · Jan 7, 2026 · 15:10In transcript

…healthy and happy lives. And for decades, decades under both Republicans and Democrats, federal incentives have promoted low quality, highly processed foods and pharmaceutical interventions…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will RFK say during RNC Midterm Convention? · not listed

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What will RFK say during Saturday in America? · not listed

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What will RFK or Dr. Oz say during their Fraud News Conference? · settled no

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What will RFK say during the Dept of HHS Budget hearing? · not listed

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What will RFK say during the Hearing on Health and Human Services? · not listed

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What will RFK say during his announcement on Microplastics? · settled no

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What will RFK say during his CPAC Fireside Chat? · not listed

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What will RFK say during his press conference? · settled no

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What will RFK say on 60 Minutes? · settled no

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Mention: RFK One Year of MAHA · settled no

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Every settled listing

newest first · 6 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jul 21, 2026DemocratKalshiNo
Apr 2, 2026DemocratKalshiNo
Mar 6, 2026DemocratKalshiNo
Feb 16, 2026DemocratKalshiNo
Feb 10, 2026DemocratKalshiNo
Feb 3, 2026DemocratKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Robert F. Kennedy Jr. say “Democrat”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. did not say “Democrat” at any of the 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 3, 2026.
What is the probability Robert F. Kennedy Jr. says “Democrat” next time?
27%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: ‘Democrat’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/robert-f-kennedy-jr/words/democrat (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=robert-f-kennedy-jr&word=democrat · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=robert-f-kennedy-jr&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP