Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. say “Healthcare”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. said “Healthcare” at 5 of 9 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 3, 2026 (56%), most recently on Aug 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=9, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (1 episode, 1 press briefing; Jan 7, 2026 – Aug 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 5/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no no yes yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceRobert F. Kennedy Jr.
Healthcare
- Probability
- 45% · n=9
- Settled
- 5/9 (56%)
- Last 2 transcripts
- said in 2 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
1 counted; 4 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 9 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | Healthcare | No | – | |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Healthcare | Yes | 1 | |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Healthcare | Yes | – | |
| Apr 16, 2026 | Healthcare | Yes | – | |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Healthcare | No | – | |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Healthcare | No | – | |
| Feb 16, 2026 | Healthcare | No | – | |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Healthcare | Yes | – | |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Healthcare | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Robert F. Kennedy Jr. say “Healthcare”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. said “Healthcare” at 5 of 9 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 3, 2026 (56%), most recently on Aug 29, 2026.
- What is the probability Robert F. Kennedy Jr. says “Healthcare” next time?
- 45%, from settlement history (n=9). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: ‘Healthcare’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/robert-f-kennedy-jr/words/healthcare (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=robert-f-kennedy-jr&word=healthcare · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=robert-f-kennedy-jr&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP