Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. say “Pharmaceutical”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. said “Pharmaceutical” at 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 3, 2026 (25%), most recently on Feb 9, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 44% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (1 episode, 1 press briefing; Jan 7, 2026 – Aug 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 panels have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Pharmaceutical
- Probability
- 44% · n=4
- Settled
- 1/4 (25%)
- Last 2 transcripts
- said in 1 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode, 1 press briefing); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
…to secure most favored nation drug pricing and secured deals with major pharmaceutical companies to massively lower the cost of prescription drugs. And those effects…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Pharmaceutical |  Kalshi | No |
| Feb 16, 2026 | Pharmaceutical | Kalshi | No |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Pharmaceutical | Kalshi | Yes |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Pharmaceutical | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Robert F. Kennedy Jr. say “Pharmaceutical”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. said “Pharmaceutical” at 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 3, 2026 (25%), most recently on Feb 9, 2026.
- What is the probability Robert F. Kennedy Jr. says “Pharmaceutical” next time?
- 44%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: ‘Pharmaceutical’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/robert-f-kennedy-jr/words/pharmaceutical (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=robert-f-kennedy-jr&word=pharmaceutical · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=robert-f-kennedy-jr&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP