Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. say “Autism”?

As of Oct 26, 2026, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. said “Autism” at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 3, 2026 (50%), most recently on Mar 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 59% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (1 episode, 1 press briefing; Jan 7, 2026 – Aug 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 panels have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.

59%from settlement history only · n=4counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=robert-f-kennedy-jr&word=autism

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Autism

Probability
59% · n=4
Settled
2/4 (50%)
Last 2 transcripts
said in 1 of 2

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode, 1 press briefing); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.guestSaturday in America (Fox News), August 29, 2026 · Aug 29, 2026 · 16:10In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

What will RFK say during RNC Midterm Convention? · not listed

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What will RFK say during Saturday in America? · not listed

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What will RFK or Dr. Oz say during their Fraud News Conference? · not listed

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What will RFK say during the Dept of HHS Budget hearing? · not listed

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What will RFK say during the Hearing on Health and Human Services? · not listed

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What will RFK say during his announcement on Microplastics? · not listed

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What will RFK say during his CPAC Fireside Chat? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will RFK say during his press conference? · not listed

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What will RFK say on 60 Minutes? · settled no

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Mention: RFK One Year of MAHA · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Mar 28, 2026AutismKalshiYes
Feb 16, 2026AutismKalshiNo
Feb 10, 2026AutismKalshiYes
Feb 3, 2026AutismKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Robert F. Kennedy Jr. say “Autism”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. said “Autism” at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 3, 2026 (50%), most recently on Mar 28, 2026.
What is the probability Robert F. Kennedy Jr. says “Autism” next time?
59%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: ‘Autism’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/robert-f-kennedy-jr/words/autism (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=robert-f-kennedy-jr&word=autism · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=robert-f-kennedy-jr&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP