Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. say “Mental Health”?

As of Oct 27, 2026, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. said “Mental Health” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 3, 2026 (33%), most recently on Feb 3, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (1 episode, 1 press briefing; Jan 7, 2026 – Aug 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

43%from settlement history only · n=3counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=robert-f-kennedy-jr&word=mental%20health

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Mental Health

Probability
43% · n=3
Settled
1/3 (33%)
Last 2 transcripts
said in 0 of 2

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode, 1 press briefing); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Mehmet OzotherPress Secretary Karoline Leavitt Briefs Members of the Media, Jan. 7, 2026 · Jan 7, 2026 · 20:23In transcript

…evidence that food is medicine when it comes to conditions from various mental health issues from the Alzheimer's and depression to fundamental realities of how…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will RFK say during RNC Midterm Convention? · not listed

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What will RFK say during Saturday in America? · not listed

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What will RFK or Dr. Oz say during their Fraud News Conference? · not listed

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What will RFK say during the Dept of HHS Budget hearing? · not listed

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What will RFK say during the Hearing on Health and Human Services? · not listed

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What will RFK say during his announcement on Microplastics? · not listed

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What will RFK say during his CPAC Fireside Chat? · not listed

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What will RFK say during his press conference? · not listed

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What will RFK say on 60 Minutes? · settled no

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Mention: RFK One Year of MAHA · settled no

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Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Feb 16, 2026Mental HealthKalshiNo
Feb 10, 2026Mental HealthKalshiNo
Feb 3, 2026Mental HealthKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Robert F. Kennedy Jr. say “Mental Health”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. said “Mental Health” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 3, 2026 (33%), most recently on Feb 3, 2026.
What is the probability Robert F. Kennedy Jr. says “Mental Health” next time?
43%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: ‘Mental Health’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/robert-f-kennedy-jr/words/mental-health (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=robert-f-kennedy-jr&word=mental%20health · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=robert-f-kennedy-jr&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP