What is the probability Robert F. Kennedy Jr. says “Obesity” next time?

57%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. say “Obesity”?

Name: Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: “Obesity” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 27, 2026, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. said “Obesity” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 10, 2026.

Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (1 episode, 1 press briefing; Jan 7, 2026 – Aug 29, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak: said last time
Last said: Feb 9, 2026
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 27, 2026, 19:01 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Obesity

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 1/1 (100%)
Last 2 transcripts: said in 2 of 2

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode, 1 press briefing); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.guestSaturday in America (Fox News), August 29, 2026 · Aug 29, 2026 · 23:57In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.otherPress Secretary Karoline Leavitt Briefs Members of the Media, Jan. 7, 2026 · Jan 7, 2026 · 10:54In transcript

…could be averted through good food. The United States has the highest obesity and type two diabetes rate in the developed world. We spend three…

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Mention: RFK One Year of MAHA · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result
Feb 10, 2026	Obesity	Kalshi	Yes

Questions

How often does Robert F. Kennedy Jr. say “Obesity”?: As of Oct 27, 2026, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. said “Obesity” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 10, 2026.
What is the probability Robert F. Kennedy Jr. says “Obesity” next time?: 57%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: ‘Obesity’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/robert-f-kennedy-jr/words/obesity (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=robert-f-kennedy-jr&word=obesity · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=robert-f-kennedy-jr&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP