Oscars: Awards show, Mar 2, 2025
Kalshi What will Conan say at the Oscars?
Markets
16 words · 8 settled yes- Kalshi: the host Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bob Dylan / Dylan | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Drake | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fire | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Karla Sofía Gascón | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Kendrick / Lamar | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| LA / Los Angeles | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Stream / Streaming | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Timothee / Chalamet | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Adrien / Brody | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Botox | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Disney | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Epstein | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gene / Hackman | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Holding space | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Kidman | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXOSCARMENTION-25MAR · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP