Will “Karla Sofía Gascón” be said on Oscars next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Karla Sofía Gascón” was said on Oscars in 2 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 2, 2025 (100%), most recently on Mar 2, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 51% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

51%from settlement history only · n=2counts: the host
Last 10
2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
the host
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Oscars

Karla Sofía Gascón

Probability
51% · n=2
Settled
2/2 (100%)

Next listing counts: the host

We don’t have transcripts for Oscars yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

Mention: Conan O'Brien hosts the Oscars · not listed

Open the appearance

What will be said during the Oscars? · not listed

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What will Conan say at the Oscars? · settled yes

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What will Conan say at the Oscars (Early Expiration)? · settled yes

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Mar 2, 2025Karla Sofía GascónKalshiYes
Mar 2, 2025Karla Sofía GascónKalshiYes

Questions

How often is “Karla Sofía Gascón” said on Oscars?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Karla Sofía Gascón” was said on Oscars in 2 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 2, 2025 (100%), most recently on Mar 2, 2025.
What is the probability “Karla Sofía Gascón” is said on Oscars next time?
51%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: the host.

Cite parrot.markets, “Oscars: ‘Karla Sofía Gascón’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/oscars/words/karla-sofia-gascon (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=oscars&word=karla%20sofia%20gascon · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=oscars&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP