Will “Timothée / Chalamet” be said on Oscars next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Timothée / Chalamet” was said on Oscars in 3 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 2, 2025 (100%), most recently on Mar 16, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 57% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Oscars
Timothée / Chalamet
- Probability
- 57% · n=3
- Settled
- 3/3 (100%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Oscars yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | Timothée / Chalamet |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Timothee / Chalamet | Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Timothee / Chalamet | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Timothée / Chalamet” said on Oscars?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Timothée / Chalamet” was said on Oscars in 3 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 2, 2025 (100%), most recently on Mar 16, 2026.
- What is the probability “Timothée / Chalamet” is said on Oscars next time?
- 57%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Oscars: ‘Timothée / Chalamet’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/oscars/words/chalamet-or-timothee (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=oscars&word=chalamet%20%2F%20timothee · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=oscars&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP