Will “Adrien / Brody” be said on Oscars next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Adrien / Brody” was not said on Oscars in any of the 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 2, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 37% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

37%from settlement history only · n=2counts: the host
Last 10
0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
the host
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Oscars

Adrien / Brody

Probability
37% · n=2
Settled
0/2 (0%)

Next listing counts: the host

We don’t have transcripts for Oscars yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

Mention: Conan O'Brien hosts the Oscars · not listed

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What will be said during the Oscars? · not listed

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What will Conan say at the Oscars? · settled no

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What will Conan say at the Oscars (Early Expiration)? · settled no

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Mar 2, 2025Adrien / BrodyKalshiNo
Mar 2, 2025Adrien / BrodyKalshiNo

Questions

How often is “Adrien / Brody” said on Oscars?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Adrien / Brody” was not said on Oscars in any of the 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 2, 2025.
What is the probability “Adrien / Brody” is said on Oscars next time?
37%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: the host.

Cite parrot.markets, “Oscars: ‘Adrien / Brody’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/oscars/words/adrien-or-brody (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=oscars&word=adrien%20%2F%20brody · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=oscars&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP