Will “Botox” be said on Oscars next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Botox” was not said on Oscars in any of the 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 2, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 37% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

37%from settlement history only · n=2counts: the host
Last 10
0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
the host
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API

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GET /api/v1/word?entity=oscars&word=botox

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Oscars

Botox

Probability
37% · n=2
Settled
0/2 (0%)

Next listing counts: the host

We don’t have transcripts for Oscars yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

Mention: Conan O'Brien hosts the Oscars · not listed

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What will be said during the Oscars? · not listed

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What will Conan say at the Oscars? · settled no

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What will Conan say at the Oscars (Early Expiration)? · settled no

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Mar 2, 2025BotoxKalshiNo
Mar 2, 2025BotoxKalshiNo

Questions

How often is “Botox” said on Oscars?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Botox” was not said on Oscars in any of the 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 2, 2025.
What is the probability “Botox” is said on Oscars next time?
37%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: the host.

Cite parrot.markets, “Oscars: ‘Botox’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/oscars/words/botox (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=oscars&word=botox · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=oscars&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP