Will “Fire” be said on Oscars next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Fire” was said on Oscars in 2 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 2, 2025 (100%), most recently on Mar 2, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 51% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
51%from settlement history only · n=2counts: the host
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- the host
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Oscars
Fire
- Probability
- 51% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
Next listing counts: the host
We don’t have transcripts for Oscars yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often is “Fire” said on Oscars?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Fire” was said on Oscars in 2 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 2, 2025 (100%), most recently on Mar 2, 2025.
- What is the probability “Fire” is said on Oscars next time?
- 51%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: the host.
Cite parrot.markets, “Oscars: ‘Fire’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/oscars/words/fire (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=oscars&word=fire · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=oscars&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP