The Briefing with Jen Psaki (MS NOW), September 29, 2026
On the Sep 29, 2026 episode of The Briefing with Jen Psaki, 3 of the 13 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 13 settlements. Counts and timings only: the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Updated
Markets
13 words · 3 settled yes · our count agreed on 13 of 13- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Midterm / Election | Yes | 2 | 18 | ✓ | 61%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | Yes | 2 | 40 | ✓ | 61%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | Yes | 1 | 2 | ✓ | 56%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 58%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Republican | No | 0 | 23 | ✓ | 52%n=38 from settlement history | – |
| Farmer / Small Business | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Canada / Canadian | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Supreme Court | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ICE | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 41%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | 0 | 4 | ✓ | 35%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | 13 | ✓ | 34%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 0 | 4 | ✓ | 33%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 0 | 3 | ✓ | 31%n=30 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
counts and timings onlyCaptions · machine-attributed · Internet Archive TV News Archive (broadcast captions) · Source · Counts and timings only: the captions are at the Internet Archive.
0 matches for “Unconstitutional / Constitution”.
Where the listed words were said
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/the-briefing-with-jen-psaki:2026-09-29:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=the-briefing-with-jen-psaki:2026-09-29:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP