Will “Farmer / Small Business” be said on The Briefing next time?
As of Oct 23, 2026, “Farmer / Small Business” was not said on The Briefing in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 29, 2026.
In the 1 latest transcripts we have (8 episodes), it reached the market's count 0 times.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
The Briefing with Jen Psaki
Farmer / Small Business
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Latest transcripts
- said in 0 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 episodes); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Farmer / Small Business |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Farmer / Small Business” said on The Briefing?
- As of Oct 23, 2026, “Farmer / Small Business” was not said on The Briefing in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 29, 2026.
- What is the probability “Farmer / Small Business” is said on The Briefing next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “The Briefing: ‘Farmer / Small Business’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-briefing-with-jen-psaki/words/farmer-or-small-business (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-briefing-with-jen-psaki&word=farmer%20%2F%20small%20business · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-briefing-with-jen-psaki&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP