Will “Midterm / Election” be said on The Briefing next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Midterm / Election” was said on The Briefing in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 29, 2026.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 8, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
The Briefing with Jen Psaki
Midterm / Election
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 1 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
2 counted; 16 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Midterm / Election |  Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
Questions
- How often is “Midterm / Election” said on The Briefing?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Midterm / Election” was said on The Briefing in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 29, 2026.
- What is the probability “Midterm / Election” is said on The Briefing next time?
- 51%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “The Briefing: ‘Midterm / Election’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-briefing-with-jen-psaki/words/election-or-midterm (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-briefing-with-jen-psaki&word=election%20%2F%20midterm · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-briefing-with-jen-psaki&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP