Will “Federal” be said on The Briefing next time?
As of Oct 23, 2026, “Federal” was said on The Briefing in 2 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 19, 2026 (100%), most recently on Sep 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 51% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the 1 latest transcripts we have (8 episodes), it reached the market's count 1 time.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
The Briefing with Jen Psaki
Federal
- Probability
- 51% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Latest transcripts
- said in 1 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
3 counted; 5 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often is “Federal” said on The Briefing?
- As of Oct 23, 2026, “Federal” was said on The Briefing in 2 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 19, 2026 (100%), most recently on Sep 22, 2026.
- What is the probability “Federal” is said on The Briefing next time?
- 51%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “The Briefing: ‘Federal’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-briefing-with-jen-psaki/words/federal (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-briefing-with-jen-psaki&word=federal · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-briefing-with-jen-psaki&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP