Amy Hood: Keynote, Sep 10, 2026
Microsoft at Goldman Sachs Communacopia
At the keynote on Sep 10, 2026, Amy Hood said 7 of the 14 words Kalshi listed.
Part of Goldman sachs communacopia (4 appearances).
UpdatedMarkets
14 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Azure | Yes | 67%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Copilot | Yes | 67%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 66%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Capital Expenditure / Capex | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Agent / Agentic | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Data Center | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Cybersecurity / Security | Yes | 59%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| OpenAI / ChatGPT | No | 73%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Anthropic / Claude | No | 71%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| NVIDIA | No | 68%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Xbox / Gaming | No | 60%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Capacity | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Regulation / Regulatory | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Layoff / Job Cut | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
No public transcript expected. Microsoft webcast at an investor conference (investor relations, usually behind registration). The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/amy-hood:2026-09-10:keynote · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=amy-hood:2026-09-10:keynote · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP