Will Microsoft say “OpenAI / ChatGPT”?
Microsoft said “OpenAI / ChatGPT” 15 times on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on each of its last 8 calls: 12, 15, 5, 7, 18, 14, 12, 15 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Microsoft did not say “OpenAI / ChatGPT” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 25% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Microsoft
OpenAI / ChatGPT
- Probability
- 25% · n=1
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
15 counted (15 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…the latest generation hardware in our fleet and is now supporting both OpenAI and MAI models. And we will be among the first cloud providers…
…first-party workloads as well as workloads for customers, including Adobe, Arm, Elastic, OpenAI, Sprinklr, and TomTom. By the end of this month, we expect to…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
12 counted (11 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
…so customers can choose the right model for the right workload across OpenAI, Anthropic, open source, and more. Over 10,000 customers have used more than…
…and WPP for the first time through Foundry. We are innovating on OpenAI IP to drive product evals and lower cogs. Two recent examples of…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
14 counted (13 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…we were able to achieve in one of our highest volume workloads, OpenAI inferencing, powering our co-pilots. And another example was the unlocking of new…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | OpenAI / ChatGPT |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How many times did Microsoft say “OpenAI / ChatGPT” on its last earnings call?
- Microsoft said “OpenAI / ChatGPT” 15 times on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on each of its last 8 calls: 12, 15, 5, 7, 18, 14, 12, 15 times.
- How often does Microsoft say “OpenAI / ChatGPT”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Microsoft did not say “OpenAI / ChatGPT” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 10, 2026.
- What is the probability Microsoft says “OpenAI / ChatGPT” next time?
- 25%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Microsoft: ‘OpenAI / ChatGPT’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MSFT/words/chatgpt-or-openai (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=microsoft&word=chatgpt%20%2F%20openai · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=microsoft&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP