JPMorgan (JPM): FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 14, 2026

Tue, Jul 14Earnings callSpeaker-labelled transcriptJPMorgan

On its Jul 14, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q2), JPMorgan said 13 of the 36 words Kalshi and Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with 34 of 36 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each, with timed clips.

Updated

Markets

36 words · 13 settled yes · our count agreed on 34 of 36

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityClipMarket
Revenue 10+ timesYes2525✓78%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 0:51, Revenue 10+ times–
AI / Artificial Intelligence 5+ timesYes2424✓59%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 13:45, AI / Artificial Intelligence 5+ times–
Invest / Investment 5+ timesYes2323✓81%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 1:00, Invest / Investment 5+ times–
Risk Yes2121✓96%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 7:52, Risk–
Inflation Yes44✓64%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 1:19, Inflation–
Credit Card Yes34✓41%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 34:30, Credit Card–
Trading Yes23✓85%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 4:15, Trading–
M&A / Merger Yes23✓79%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 3:35, M&A / Merger–
Regulation Yes23✓72%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 1:00:36, Regulation–
Hiring Yes22✓42%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 1:18, Hiring–
Mortgage Yes11✓83%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 35:29, Mortgage–
Fraud Yes11✓66%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 38:36, Fraud–
Fintech Yes12✓45%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 39:19, Fintech–
Dollar 10+ timesNo4242✗88%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 0:45, Dollar 10+ times–
Million 10+ timesNo44✓35%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 1:27, Million 10+ times–
Buyback No13✗82%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 47:31, Buyback–
Private Credit No00✓90%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Cyber No00✓73%transcripts from the transcript model–
Basel 3 No02✓67%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Recession No00✓62%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Pivot No00✓59%transcripts from the transcript model–
Geopolitical No00✓53%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Tariff No00✓48%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Rate Cut / Cut Rates No00✓36%transcripts from the transcript model–
Disruption No00✓31%transcripts from the transcript model–
Crypto / Bitcoin No00✓28%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Blockchain No00✓23%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Hike No00✓21%transcripts from the transcript model–
Bitcoin No00✓17%transcripts from the transcript model–
Bond Crisis No00✓17%transcripts from the transcript model–
Churn No00✓17%transcripts from the transcript model–
Monetize No00✓17%transcripts from the transcript model–
Prediction No00✓17%transcripts from the transcript model–
Stakeholder No00✓17%transcripts from the transcript model–
Synergy No00✓17%transcripts from the transcript model–
Trump No00✓17%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

6 matches for “Loan”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Jeremy Barnumcompanyprepared · 1:06Hear it 1:00, Jeremy Barnum

…in AWM and CCB, higher investment banking revenue, and higher deposit and loan balances, partially offset by the impact of lower rates. Expenses of $27.3…

Jeremy Barnumcompanyprepared · 4:44Hear it 4:38, Jeremy Barnum

…levels and strong net inflows, as well as investment valuation gains, higher loan balances, and higher brokerage activity. Long-term net inflows were $50 billion, with…

Jeremy Barnumcompanyqa · 11:57Hear it 11:53, Jeremy Barnum

…you look at it, you have a little bit of the dynamic of loans creating deposits, and that's going to disproportionately show up in wholesale.

Jamie Dimoncompanyqa · 42:22Hear it 42:22, Jamie Dimon

…Exchange, the CME, volumes through hedge funds. It's not a secret. Margin loans. You can see a lot of this taking place during the course…

Jeremy Barnumcompanyqa · 43:32Hear it 43:28, Jeremy Barnum

…question quickly. We do see some decent kind of CapEx and associated loan growth across the franchise, and at least on the surface, some of…

Where the listed words were said

Jeremy Barnumcompany“Revenue (10+)” · prepared · 2:11Hear it 2:11, Jeremy Barnum

…quarter. Moving to our businesses. CCB reported net income of $5.3 billion. Revenue of $20.3 billion was up 8% year-on-year, predominantly driven by higher card…

Chris Mc Grattyanalyst“AI / Artificial Intelligence (5+)” · qa · 13:47Hear it 13:43, Chris Mc Gratty

…expenses. Really, the returns that you're getting from the branch build-out, the AI investments, the hire of the bankers. Ultimately, I guess the question is,…

Jeremy Barnumcompany“Invest / Investment (5+)” · prepared · 2:53Hear it 2:53, Jeremy Barnum

…net new checking account growth of over 500,000 accounts this quarter. Client investment assets were up 21% year-on-year, driven by market performance along with strong…

Ken Usdinanalyst“Risk” · qa · 7:54Hear it 7:49, Ken Usdin

…anyone would have expected. How do you judge the sustainability, and how do you judge just how risk-on are we across the various businesses? Thanks.

Jeremy Barnumcompany“Inflation” · qa · 29:13Hear it 29:07, Jeremy Barnum

…testing and when we think about not just a slightly more elevated inflation environment and a slightly more aggressive response from the Fed, but something…

Jamie Dimoncompany“Credit Card” · qa · 34:32Hear it 34:29, Jamie Dimon

…that in Asset & Wealth Management, a little bit of that in credit card spend, a little bit of that other parts of the business…

Jeremy Barnumcompany“Trading” · prepared · 4:17Hear it 4:15, Jeremy Barnum

…conditions. We saw strength across products and regions. Flows were strong, and trading was favorable in both derivatives and cash, and Prime benefited from higher…

Jeremy Barnumcompany“M&A / Merger” · prepared · 3:37Hear it 3:31, Jeremy Barnum

…some large ECM deals and the acceleration of the closure of some M&A transactions, the pipeline remains quite robust, and the current activity levels seem…

Jamie Dimoncompany“Regulation” · qa · 1:00:38Hear it 1:00:32, Jamie Dimon

…or, "You can only replace so many," or, "We don't want flip-flopping regulations." I really like the fact that Mickey Bowman and Kevin Warsh are…

Jamie Dimoncompany“Hiring” · qa · 49:12Hear it 49:07, Jamie Dimon

…hard. It's technology, it's people, it's systems, it's branches, it's bankers, it's hiring, it's training, it's recruiting. I was surprised to find out in parts…

Mike Mayoanalyst“Mortgage” · qa · 35:31Hear it 35:26, Mike Mayo

…internally. To oversimplify and exaggerate, we have an FX trader now selling mortgage, credit cards, and deposits. I'm being simplistic for a reason, but what…

Jamie Dimoncompany“Fraud” · qa · 38:38Hear it 38:32, Jamie Dimon

…though we'd say that the really important ones are 50 across risk, fraud, marketing, hedging, prospecting, note-taking, idea generation, document reading. It's kind of just…

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