Will JPMorgan say “Rate Cut / Cut Rates”?
JPMorgan did not say “Rate Cut / Cut Rates” on its Oct 13, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, JPMorgan did not say “Rate Cut / Cut Rates” on any of the 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 14, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 22% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 7¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JPMorgan
Rate Cut / Cut Rates
- Probability
- 22% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…quickly. Usual, the outlook follows the forward curve, which currently assumes two rate cuts. Offsetting that is the expectation for continued loan growth in card,…
…increasing to about $8 billion due to lower funding costs from the rate cuts, which you should think of as being primarily offset in NIR.…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Rate Cut / Cut Rates |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Rate Cut / Cut Rates | Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How many times did JPMorgan say “Rate Cut / Cut Rates” on its last earnings call?
- JPMorgan did not say “Rate Cut / Cut Rates” on its Oct 13, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 0, 0, 0 times.
- How often does JPMorgan say “Rate Cut / Cut Rates”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, JPMorgan did not say “Rate Cut / Cut Rates” on any of the 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 14, 2026.
- What is the probability JPMorgan says “Rate Cut / Cut Rates” next time?
- 22%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “JPMorgan: ‘Rate Cut / Cut Rates’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/JPM/words/cut-rate-or-rate-cut (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jpmorgan&word=cut%20rate%20%2F%20rate%20cut · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jpmorgan&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP