Will JPMorgan say “Tariff”?
JPMorgan did not say “Tariff” on its Oct 13, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 9, 5, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, JPMorgan said “Tariff” on 1 of 5 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 14, 2025 (20%), most recently on Oct 14, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 17% (n=5, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 4 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 12¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JPMorgan
Tariff
- Probability
- 17% · n=5
- Settled
- 1/5 (20%)
- Last calls
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).
…whether it is labor or goods and services, not to get into tariffs or whatever, that is a factor that applies to our entire cost…
…big booming moment. And then we had Liberation Day and all the tariff uncertainty and equity market volatility. And so things kind of went quiet…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
5 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 5 in Q&A); 3 by speakers the rule does not count.
…What's the state of play there when we think about interest rates? Tariffs, consumer spending slowing, should we be concerned in terms of credit quality…
…see some idiosyncratic things here and there. And on the point of tariffs, I I guess, obviously, you you recall the slide that we did…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
9 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 9 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
…amount of front-loading of spending ahead of people expecting price increases from tariffs. So, ironically, that's actually somewhat supportive all else equal. But I think…
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown
Kalshi
PolymarketQuestions
- How many times did JPMorgan say “Tariff” on its last earnings call?
- JPMorgan did not say “Tariff” on its Oct 13, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 9, 5, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0 times.
- How often does JPMorgan say “Tariff”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, JPMorgan said “Tariff” on 1 of 5 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 14, 2025 (20%), most recently on Oct 14, 2025.
- What is the probability JPMorgan says “Tariff” next time?
- 17%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “JPMorgan: ‘Tariff’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/JPM/words/tariff (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jpmorgan&word=tariff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jpmorgan&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP