Will JPMorgan say “M&A / Merger”?
JPMorgan did not say “M&A / Merger” on its Oct 13, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 6 of its last 8 calls: 1, 2, 1, 2, 0, 4, 2, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, JPMorgan said “M&A / Merger” on 2 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 14, 2026 (67%), most recently on Jul 14, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 59% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 58¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JPMorgan
M&A / Merger
- Probability
- 59% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Last calls
- said in 6 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…some large ECM deals and the acceleration of the closure of some M&A transactions, the pipeline remains quite robust, and the current activity levels seem…
…weakness over organic, which I think companies do sometimes. They bullshit about M&A when they should be focusing on why they're not doing particularly well…
Counts: company speakers + operator
4 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A).
…color, IB fees were up 28% year-on-year, driven by strong performance across M&A and equity underwriting, partially offset by lower debt underwriting. Looking ahead, client…
…people need. I think there'd be huge capital needs of companies, huge mergers. I mean, some of these companies, when I look at them, we're…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).
…the meantime, as you know, we are starting to see more M and A activity as well. I noted earlier, I think it was busiest…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | M&A / Merger |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jul 14, 2026 | M&A / Merger | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Apr 14, 2026 | M&A / Merger | Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
Questions
- How many times did JPMorgan say “M&A / Merger” on its last earnings call?
- JPMorgan did not say “M&A / Merger” on its Oct 13, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 6 of its last 8 calls: 1, 2, 1, 2, 0, 4, 2, 0 times.
- How often does JPMorgan say “M&A / Merger”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, JPMorgan said “M&A / Merger” on 2 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 14, 2026 (67%), most recently on Jul 14, 2026.
- What is the probability JPMorgan says “M&A / Merger” next time?
- 59%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “JPMorgan: ‘M&A / Merger’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/JPM/words/m-and-a-or-merger (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jpmorgan&word=m%26a%20%2F%20merger · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jpmorgan&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP