Will JPMorgan say “Trading”?

JPMorgan did not say “Trading” on its Oct 13, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 6 of its last 8 calls: 6, 4, 0, 1, 3, 6, 2, 0 times. As of Oct 23, 2026, JPMorgan said “Trading” on 4 of 5 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 14, 2025 (80%), most recently on Jul 14, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 70% (n=5, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

70%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=5Next: Earnings call, Jan 14, 2027 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
4/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
58¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

JPMorgan

Trading

Probability
70% · n=5
Settled
4/5 (80%)
Last calls
said in 6 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 13, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 14, 2026 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Jeremy Barnumcompanyprepared · 4:17Hear it 4:15, Jeremy Barnum In transcript

…conditions. We saw strength across products and regions. Flows were strong, and trading was favorable in both derivatives and cash, and Prime benefited from higher…

Jamie Dimoncompanyqa · 21:12Hear it 21:08, Jamie Dimon In transcript

…want it across the whole company, not weighted to investment banking or trading or just big CEOs, but also weighted to the fact that we've…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 14, 2026 · said 6 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

6 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 6 in Q&A); 3 by speakers the rule does not count.

Jamie Dimoncompanyqa · 16:53Hear it 16:49, Jamie Dimon In transcript

…We already have $80 billion or $90 billion of capital for the trading books. Those numbers just, they're completely out of whack with reality. Operational…

Jeremy Barnumcompanyqa · 29:00Hear it 28:55, Jeremy Barnum In transcript

…looked to see if there's kind of evidence in there of people trading, decreasing other discretionary spending to adjust for higher gas prices, but it's…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 13, 2026 · said 3 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

3 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).

Jeremy Barnumcompanyprepared · 4:39Hear it 4:36, Jeremy Barnum In transcript

…and currencies in emerging markets. Largely offset by lower revenue and credit trading. Equities was up 40% with robust performance across the franchise, particularly in…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 14, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 15, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 11, 2025 · said 4 times (counts)

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 15, 2025 · said 6 times (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 6 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 13, 2026TradingKalshiNo0
Jul 14, 2026TradingKalshiYes2
Apr 14, 2026TradingKalshiYes6
Jan 13, 2026TradingPolymarketYes3
Jan 13, 2026TradingKalshiYes3
Oct 14, 2025TradingKalshiYes1

Questions

How many times did JPMorgan say “Trading” on its last earnings call?
JPMorgan did not say “Trading” on its Oct 13, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 6 of its last 8 calls: 6, 4, 0, 1, 3, 6, 2, 0 times.
How often does JPMorgan say “Trading”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, JPMorgan said “Trading” on 4 of 5 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 14, 2025 (80%), most recently on Jul 14, 2026.
What is the probability JPMorgan says “Trading” next time?
70%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “JPMorgan: ‘Trading’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/JPM/words/trading (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jpmorgan&word=trading · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jpmorgan&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP