Will Donald Trump say “Crazy / Amazing” 5+ times?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Crazy / Amazing” 5+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 14, 2026.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 rallies, 3 remarks; Sep 27, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (5+, named speaker only) in 7. 3 later appearances without a transcript yet (since Oct 26, 2026) are not counted.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Crazy / Amazing 5+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 7 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 rallies, 3 remarks); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…didn't want him to use red or green. Oh, these people are crazy. But we ended that one pretty quickly. That was sort of easy.…
So, I came in, I held a massive rally. It was crazy. And we ended up beating him. She won 52 to 48 in the…
…say about him is that he lies. But actually, I believe he's crazy. So now he's pledging to turn Florida into a sanctuary state so…
…you'll know before me, I suspect. But there's nothing wrong. Isn't that amazing? No, they're genius. They're genius. They have a situation today. I shouldn't…
…walk out that door in a little while, you'll see something quite amazing, actually, quite beautiful. So, this is very important, and I want to…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | Crazy / Amazing 5+ times |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Crazy / Amazing 5+ times”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Crazy / Amazing” 5+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 14, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Crazy / Amazing 5+ times” next time?
- 44%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Crazy / Amazing 5+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/amazing-or-crazy-5plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=amazing%20%2F%20crazy%20%285%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP