Amazon (AMZN): FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 29, 2026

Wed, Apr 29Earnings callSpeaker-labelled transcriptAmazon

On its Apr 29, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q1), Amazon said 12 of the 17 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with 16 of 17 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

17 words · 12 settled yes · our count agreed on 16 of 17

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
OpenAI Yes910✓52%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Rufus Yes810✓81%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Prime Day Yes44✓67%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Gen-AI / Generative AI Yes33✓94%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Silicon Yes34✓88%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Alexa+ / Alexa Plus Yes22✓87%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Data Center Yes23✓82%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Live Sports Yes22✓81%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Robotic / Robotics Yes11✓91%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Tariff Yes11✓89%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Third Party Sellers Yes11✓64%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Supply Chain Yes12✓27%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Sponsored Products No11✗71%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Project Kuiper No00✓59%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
China No00✓41%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
RxPass No00✓14%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Drone No00✓12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

5 matches for “America”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Andrew Jassycompanyprepared

…from enterprises and governments, including Delta Airlines, JetBlue, AT&T, Vodafone, DIRECTV Latin America, Australia's National Broadband Network, DP World Tour, NASA and others. We also…

Brian Olsavskycompanyprepared

…continue to innovate for customers while operating more efficiently. In the North America segment, first quarter revenue was $104.1 billion, an increase of 12% year-over-year.…

Brian Olsavskycompanyprepared

…business in its own right. Now let's shift to segment profitability. North America segment operating income was $8.3 billion with an operating margin of 7.9%.…

Brian Olsavskycompanyprepared

…by the timing of our annual compensation cycle. Second, within the North America segment, we do expect a year-over-year cost increase of approximately $1 billion…

Operatoroperatorqa

The next question comes from the line of Justin Post with Bank of America.

Where the listed words were said

Andrew Jassycompany“OpenAI” · prepared

…tokens in Q1 than all prior years combined. We're excited to make OpenAI's models available in Bedrock. Yesterday, we added OpenAI's GPT-5.4 model with 5.5…

Andrew Jassycompany“Rufus” · prepared

…managing prescriptions to facilitating medical treatment with a real One Medical provider. Rufus, our agentic AI shopping assistant continues to resonate with customers. Rufus can…

Andrew Jassycompany“Prime Day” · prepared

…products offered on Amazon.com decreased compared to the same period last year. Prime Day will take place in most countries in June, which will bring…

Brian Olsavskycompany“Gen-AI / Generative AI” · prepared

…CapEx was $43.2 billion in Q1. This primarily relates to AWS and generative AI as we invest to support strong customer demand. We will continue…

Andrew Jassycompany“Silicon” · prepared

…would be $50 billion. As best as we can tell, our custom silicon business is now one of the top 3 data center chip businesses…

Andrew Jassycompany“Alexa+ / Alexa Plus” · prepared

…Tournament with total viewership up 18% compared to last year on cable. Alexa+ early access expanded to millions more Prime members in Mexico, the U.K.,…

Andrew Jassycompany“Data Center” · prepared

…CapEx investments fund assets with many year useful lives, 30-plus years for data centers, 5 to 6 years for chips, servers and networking gear. The…

Brian Olsavskycompany“Robotic / Robotics” · prepared

…touches per package and improve consolidation rates. Alongside these efforts, we deploy robotics and automation, which have been integral to our operations for decades. Our…

Dave Fildescompany“Tariff” · prepared

…exchange rates and energy prices, changes in global economic and geopolitical conditions, tariff and trade policies, resource and supply volatility, including for memory chips and…

Brian Olsavskycompany“Third Party Sellers” · prepared

…including our Big Spring Sale. We also saw particularly strong performance for third-party sellers who are important contributors to our broad selection and competitive pricing.…

Andrew Jassycompany“Supply Chain” · qa

So on memory and storage and the supply chain, I think everybody knows that the cost of these components, particularly memory has skyrocketed. And we're…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/amazon:2026-04-29:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=amazon:2026-04-29:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP