Will Amazon say “Third Party Seller”?
Amazon did not say “Third Party Seller” on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 7 of its last 8 calls: 1, 1, 2, 1, 2, 2, 1, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Amazon said “Third Party Seller” on 3 of 5 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 31, 2025 (60%), most recently on Apr 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 61% (n=5, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 3/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 57¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Amazon
Third Party Seller
- Probability
- 61% · n=5
- Settled
- 3/5 (60%)
- Last calls
- said in 7 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…including our Big Spring Sale. We also saw particularly strong performance for third-party sellers who are important contributors to our broad selection and competitive pricing.…
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…and friends, to everyday essentials and perishable groceries. Our millions of global third-party sellers continue to be an important contributor to our broad selection. In…
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…and have them delivered in the same day. Our millions of global third-party sellers continue to be important contributors to our vast selection, which helps…
Every settled listing
newest first · 8 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | Third Party Seller |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Third Party Seller |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Third Party Sellers | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Third Party Sellers | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Third Party Sellers | Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Third Party Sellers | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Jul 31, 2025 | Third-Party Sellers | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Jul 31, 2025 | Third-Party Sellers | Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How many times did Amazon say “Third Party Seller” on its last earnings call?
- Amazon did not say “Third Party Seller” on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 7 of its last 8 calls: 1, 1, 2, 1, 2, 2, 1, 0 times.
- How often does Amazon say “Third Party Seller”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Amazon said “Third Party Seller” on 3 of 5 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 31, 2025 (60%), most recently on Apr 29, 2026.
- What is the probability Amazon says “Third Party Seller” next time?
- 61%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Amazon: ‘Third Party Seller’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AMZN/words/third-party-seller (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=amazon&word=third%20party%20seller · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=amazon&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP