Will Amazon say “Prime Day”?
Amazon said “Prime Day” 7 times on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 7 of its last 8 calls: 2, 1, 3, 5, 1, 0, 4, 7 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Amazon said “Prime Day” on 5 of 6 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 1, 2025 (83%), most recently on Jul 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 84% (n=6, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 5/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 89¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Amazon
Prime Day
- Probability
- 84% · n=6
- Settled
- 5/6 (83%)
- Last calls
- said in 7 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
7 counted (7 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…and savings during sales events. We're pleased with the customer response to Prime Day, where customers shop millions of deals, including more than 80% at…
…the impact of foreign exchange. These results include the timing shift of Prime Day into Q2 for most of our largest countries, including the U.S.…
Counts: company speakers + operator
4 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…products offered on Amazon.com decreased compared to the same period last year. Prime Day will take place in most countries in June, which will bring…
…finish with our financial guidance for Q2. The following guidance assumes that Prime Day occurs in the second quarter in most of our largest geographies,…
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…beating prices of other major retailers. In July, we had our biggest Prime Day event ever, with customers saving billions of dollars across more than…
Every settled listing
newest first · 8 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | Prime Day |  Polymarket | Yes | 7 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Prime Day |  Kalshi | Yes | 7 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Prime Day | Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Prime Day | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Prime Day | Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Prime Day | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Jul 31, 2025 | Prime Day | Kalshi | Yes | 5 |
| May 1, 2025 | Prime Day | Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
Questions
- How many times did Amazon say “Prime Day” on its last earnings call?
- Amazon said “Prime Day” 7 times on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 7 of its last 8 calls: 2, 1, 3, 5, 1, 0, 4, 7 times.
- How often does Amazon say “Prime Day”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Amazon said “Prime Day” on 5 of 6 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 1, 2025 (83%), most recently on Jul 30, 2026.
- What is the probability Amazon says “Prime Day” next time?
- 84%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Amazon: ‘Prime Day’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AMZN/words/prime-day (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=amazon&word=prime%20day · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=amazon&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP