Will Amazon say “Project Kuiper”?
Amazon did not say “Project Kuiper” on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 1, 8, 0, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Amazon said “Project Kuiper” on 2 of 4 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 31, 2025 (50%), most recently on Oct 30, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 20% (n=4, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Amazon
Project Kuiper
- Probability
- 20% · n=4
- Settled
- 2/4 (50%)
- Last calls
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
8 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 7 in Q&A).
…iterate on the experience. We've recently completed our third successful launch of Project Kuiper. We haven't launched this service commercially yet but already have an…
On the Project Kuiper question, so Project Kuiper's or low Earth orbit satellite constellation that we're putting up and launching and there's 400 million to…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…the next James Bond movie. Additionally, just a couple of days ago, Project Kuiper reached a significant milestone by launching our first satellite into orbit,…
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | Project Kuiper |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Project Kuiper | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Project Kuiper |  Polymarket | Yes | 0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement) |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Project Kuiper | Kalshi | Yes | 0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement) |
| Jul 31, 2025 | Project Kuiper | Polymarket | Yes | 8 |
| Jul 31, 2025 | Project Kuiper | Kalshi | Yes | 8 |
Questions
- How many times did Amazon say “Project Kuiper” on its last earnings call?
- Amazon did not say “Project Kuiper” on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 1, 8, 0, 0, 0, 0 times.
- How often does Amazon say “Project Kuiper”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Amazon said “Project Kuiper” on 2 of 4 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 31, 2025 (50%), most recently on Oct 30, 2025.
- What is the probability Amazon says “Project Kuiper” next time?
- 20%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Amazon: ‘Project Kuiper’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AMZN/words/project-kuiper (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=amazon&word=project%20kuiper · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=amazon&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP