Will Amazon say “China”?
Amazon did not say “China” on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 5, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Amazon did not say “China” on any of the 4 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 30, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 15% (n=4, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 4 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 20¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Amazon
China
- Probability
- 15% · n=4
- Settled
- 0/4 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…impossible to know what will happen. Where will tariffs finally settle especially China? What happens when we deplete the inventory we forward bought or that…
…hard to know where the tariffs are going to settle, particularly in China. It's hard to know what will happen when we deplete some of…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
5 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…settle. Amazon is not uniquely susceptible to tariffs. As it relates to China, retailers who aren't buying directly from China are typically buying from companies…
…So, the total tariff will be higher for these retailers than for China Direct Sellers. It's also sometimes easy to forget what Amazon sells. We're…
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did Amazon say “China” on its last earnings call?
- Amazon did not say “China” on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 5, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0 times.
- How often does Amazon say “China”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Amazon did not say “China” on any of the 4 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 30, 2025.
- What is the probability Amazon says “China” next time?
- 15%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Amazon: ‘China’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AMZN/words/china (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=amazon&word=china · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=amazon&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP