Will Amazon say “Live Sports”?
Amazon said “Live Sports” 1 time on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 7 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 1, 2, 4, 2, 2, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Amazon said “Live Sports” on 4 of 4 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 30, 2025 (100%), most recently on Jul 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 85% (n=4, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 4/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 4 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 82¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Amazon
Live Sports
- Probability
- 85% · n=4
- Settled
- 4/4 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 7 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…more often and spend 21% more on average than those who don't. We see continued growth and engagement in Prime Video ads and live sports.
Counts: company speakers + operator
2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…3 films reaching #1 in more than 170 countries at launch. In live sports, we offered exclusive coverage of the NBA SoFi Play-In Tournament with…
…of new member acquisition. Our investments in original and exclusive content and live sports, combined with our third-party partner titles, offer the best selection of…
Counts: company speakers + operator
2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…momentum several other areas, and I'll mention just a few. Starting with live sports on Prime. The fourth season of Thursday night football broke more…
…the full funnel of advertising options we have. To, you know, in live sports, you watch Thursday night football, can see you know, defense of…
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | Live Sports |  Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Live Sports |  Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Live Sports | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Live Sports | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Live Sports | Polymarket | Yes | 4 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Live Sports | Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
Questions
- How many times did Amazon say “Live Sports” on its last earnings call?
- Amazon said “Live Sports” 1 time on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 7 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 1, 2, 4, 2, 2, 1 times.
- How often does Amazon say “Live Sports”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Amazon said “Live Sports” on 4 of 4 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 30, 2025 (100%), most recently on Jul 30, 2026.
- What is the probability Amazon says “Live Sports” next time?
- 85%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Amazon: ‘Live Sports’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AMZN/words/live-sport (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=amazon&word=live%20sport · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=amazon&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP