Starbucks (SBUX): FY26 Q2 earnings call, Apr 28, 2026

Tue, Apr 28Earnings callSpeaker-labelled transcriptStarbucks

On its Apr 28, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q2), Starbucks said 7 of the 16 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 16 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

16 words · 7 settled yes · our count agreed on 16 of 16

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
China Yes1818✓93%transcripts from the transcript model–
Tariff Yes55✓79%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Protein Yes33✓89%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Boyu Yes33✓37%transcripts from the transcript model–
Smart Queue / SmartQ Yes22✓70%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Loyalty Yes22✓40%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Comparable Sales Yes11✓36%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Holiday No00✓86%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Canada No00✓51%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Promotion No00✓48%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Condiment Bar No00✓41%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Non Dairy No00✓37%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Peppermint No00✓24%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Oatmilk / Oat Milk No00✓18%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Recycle / Recyclable No00✓15%transcripts from the transcript model–
Union No00✓11%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

18 matches for “China”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Catherine Parkcompanyprepared

…the financial results discussed on today's call reflect the consolidation of Starbucks China as our transaction closed after the second quarter. This conference call is…

Brian Niccolcompanyprepared

Comparable sales increased nearly 3%, our top 10 international markets, including China, all posted positive comps for the first time in 9 quarters. This combination…

Brian Niccolcompanyprepared

…demand with more than 1 million cups sold in its first week. China delivered transaction-led comp growth for the fourth consecutive quarter as Starbucks remained…

Brian Niccolcompanyprepared

…brand with Boyu's local market expertise to unlock attractive long-term opportunities in China. With a rebased portfolio, the Starbucks China team is eager to step…

Cathy R. Smithcompanyprepared

…quarter. As Brian mentioned, all 10 of our largest international markets, including China, Japan, South Korea, and Mexico, delivered positive comps for the first time…

Where the listed words were said

Cathy R. Smithcompany“China” · prepared

…our international margin expansion was driven by held-for-sale accounting related to Starbucks China, which temporarily reduced store operating expenses and D&A by approximately $118 million…

Cathy R. Smithcompany“Tariff” · prepared

…innovation-led product mix, and the remaining balance was inflation, largely related to tariffs and elevated coffee prices. While market dynamics can change, we expect these…

Cathy R. Smithcompany“Protein” · prepared

…our U.S. company-operated business. Innovation across new flavors and the introduction of protein have further strengthened the appeal of cold foam, especially among Gen Z.

Cathy R. Smithcompany“Boyu” · prepared

…to spend a few moments on China. Our previously announced transaction with Boyu Capital closed shortly after quarter end. Beginning in Q3, the retail operations…

Brian Niccolcompany“Smart Queue / SmartQ” · qa

…you mentioned, we're kind of continuing to make what I would call Smart Queue, smarter queue going forward based on learning with higher transaction levels.…

Brian Niccolcompany“Loyalty” · prepared

…ways that feel authentic and distinctly Starbucks and is helping deepen brand loyalty and fuel fandom. U.S. 90-day active Starbucks Rewards membership reached a record…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/starbucks:2026-04-28:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=starbucks:2026-04-28:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP