Will Starbucks say “Canada”?

Starbucks said “Canada” 1 time on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 1, 4, 2, 0, 0, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Starbucks said “Canada” on 2 of 4 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 29, 2025 (50%), most recently on Jul 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 52% (n=4, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

52%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=4Next: Earnings call, Oct 29, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
53¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Starbucks

Canada

Probability
52% · n=4
Settled
2/4 (50%)
Last calls
said in 4 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Brian Niccolcompanyprepared · 4:40Hear it 4:39, Brian Niccol In transcript

…comps were up 7.9%, driven by balanced transaction and ticket growth. In Canada, comps were even stronger. International company-operated comparable sales grew 5.7%, driven by…

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Apr 28, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, Jan 28, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Oct 29, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Brian NiccolcompanypreparedIn transcript

…flat year-over-year, driven by flat U.S. comp and positive comp growth in Canada. And in both markets, transaction comps continued to improve sequentially from the…

Catherine SmithcompanypreparedIn transcript

…in global comparable store sales, driven by international outperformance, positive comps in Canada and continued progress in our U.S. business. In the U.S., our comparable…

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Jul 29, 2025 · said 4 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

4 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Brian R. NiccolcompanypreparedIn transcript

…growth of 4%; and earnings per share of $0.50. In North America, Canada led the way with its second consecutive quarter of positive comparable sales,…

Catherine R. SmithcompanypreparedIn transcript

…improving the overall value proposition for our customers. Rounding out North America, Canada had another strong quarter with sales comp growth in the low single…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q2 earnings call, Apr 29, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Jan 28, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Oct 30, 2024 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jul 29, 2026CanadaKalshiYes1
Apr 28, 2026CanadaKalshiNo0
Jan 28, 2026CanadaKalshiNo0
Oct 29, 2025CanadaPolymarketYes2
Oct 29, 2025CanadaKalshiYes2

Questions

How many times did Starbucks say “Canada” on its last earnings call?
Starbucks said “Canada” 1 time on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 1, 4, 2, 0, 0, 1 times.
How often does Starbucks say “Canada”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Starbucks said “Canada” on 2 of 4 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 29, 2025 (50%), most recently on Jul 29, 2026.
What is the probability Starbucks says “Canada” next time?
52%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Starbucks: ‘Canada’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/SBUX/words/canada (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=starbucks&word=canada · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=starbucks&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP