Will Starbucks say “Peppermint”?

Starbucks said “Peppermint” 1 time on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Starbucks said “Peppermint” on 1 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 29, 2025 (33%), most recently on Oct 29, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 35% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

35%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=3counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Starbucks

Peppermint

Probability
35% · n=3
Settled
1/3 (33%)
Last calls
said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Brian Niccolcompanyprepared · 12:39Hear it 12:33, Brian Niccol In transcript

…Pumpkin Spice Latte and kick off the holidays with our fan favorite Peppermint Mocha. We'll keep driving fandom with a steady pace of buzz-worthy merch…

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Apr 28, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, Jan 28, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Oct 29, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Brian NiccolcompanypreparedIn transcript

…better sequenced. We'll have a relevant menu with holiday classics like the Peppermint Mocha and Snowman Cookie, alongside returning favorites like the Eggnog Latte, which…

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Jul 29, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Apr 29, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Jan 28, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Oct 30, 2024 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Apr 28, 2026PeppermintKalshiNo0
Jan 28, 2026PeppermintKalshiNo0
Oct 29, 2025PeppermintPolymarketYes1
Oct 29, 2025PeppermintKalshiYes1

Questions

How many times did Starbucks say “Peppermint” on its last earnings call?
Starbucks said “Peppermint” 1 time on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 1 times.
How often does Starbucks say “Peppermint”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Starbucks said “Peppermint” on 1 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 29, 2025 (33%), most recently on Oct 29, 2025.
What is the probability Starbucks says “Peppermint” next time?
35%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Starbucks: ‘Peppermint’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/SBUX/words/peppermint (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=starbucks&word=peppermint · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=starbucks&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP