Will Starbucks say “Promotion”?

Starbucks did not say “Promotion” on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 1, 1, 0, 3, 1, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Starbucks said “Promotion” on 1 of 4 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 29, 2025 (25%), most recently on Oct 29, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 25% (n=4, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

25%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=4counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no
Streak
not said the last 3 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Starbucks

Promotion

Probability
25% · n=4
Settled
1/4 (25%)
Last calls
said in 4 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q2 earnings call, Apr 28, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, Jan 28, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Oct 29, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Catherine SmithcompanypreparedIn transcript

…Service standard is ramping, and we're no longer lapping heavy levels of promotion in fiscal 2026. We're excited about a strong holiday lineup, future menu…

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Jul 29, 2025 · said 3 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

3 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Brian R. NiccolcompanypreparedIn transcript

…eliminating unproductive menu items; and reducing our reliance on deep discounts and promotions. Because of this hard work, we are creating an operating platform to…

Catherine R. SmithcompanypreparedIn transcript

…less than 4%. While our transactions remain impacted by lapping highly discounted promotions in the prior year, we are seeing continued progress. U.S. company-operated transaction…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q2 earnings call, Apr 29, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Jan 28, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.

Brian NiccolcompanypreparedIn transcript

…beverages, which over-delivered and compensated for lower-than-expected performance across our holiday promotions. We've been focused on simplifying our menu to position partners for…

Katherine GriffinanalystqaIn transcript

…Senatore. So, earlier, I think, Rachel, you were talking about having less promotions as a positive impact on revenue. I think the goal from here…

Not counted under the usual rule (company speakers + operator); this word was not listed here.

Every match in the transcript

FY24 Q4 earnings call, Oct 30, 2024 · said 1 time (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jul 29, 2026PromotionKalshiNo0
Apr 28, 2026PromotionKalshiNo0
Jan 28, 2026PromotionKalshiNo0
Oct 29, 2025PromotionPolymarketYes1
Oct 29, 2025PromotionKalshiYes1

Questions

How many times did Starbucks say “Promotion” on its last earnings call?
Starbucks did not say “Promotion” on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 1, 1, 0, 3, 1, 0, 0, 0 times.
How often does Starbucks say “Promotion”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Starbucks said “Promotion” on 1 of 4 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 29, 2025 (25%), most recently on Oct 29, 2025.
What is the probability Starbucks says “Promotion” next time?
25%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Starbucks: ‘Promotion’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/SBUX/words/promotion (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=starbucks&word=promotion · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=starbucks&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP